Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.901911 1.029315 1.168118 1.330550 1.515426 1.719308 1.961241
2025-02-16 0.706355 0.880803 1.087935 1.351960 1.679615 2.073014 2.581550
2025-02-23 0.577626 0.766599 1.004966 1.327620 1.753103 2.295334 3.039623
2025-03-02 0.492990 0.688502 0.947619 1.316020 1.826538 2.509573 3.494210
2025-03-09 0.434639 0.634444 0.910840 1.320892 1.914063 2.741796 3.986681
2025-03-16 0.388236 0.589610 0.879072 1.325194 1.995835 2.967576 4.485519
2025-03-23 0.352579 0.555200 0.856844 1.338214 2.087691 3.211616 5.029082
2025-03-30 0.312739 0.509319 0.811652 1.309988 2.111577 3.352587 5.424856
2025-04-06 0.279091 0.469078 0.770321 1.282133 2.130900 3.484732 5.814327
2025-04-13 0.247061 0.427810 0.722786 1.238507 2.118763 3.562926 6.119452
2025-04-20 0.240378 0.428073 0.742796 1.308059 2.299357 3.969296 7.005314
2025-04-27 0.232728 0.425692 0.757725 1.369594 2.470702 4.373003 7.920438
2025-05-04 0.222888 0.418834 0.764893 1.419321 2.628042 4.769929 8.867554
2025-05-11 0.209700 0.404579 0.757623 1.442358 2.739589 5.096002 9.717971
2025-05-18 0.191136 0.378285 0.725770 1.416399 2.757314 5.252096 10.264889
2025-05-25 0.176343 0.357686 0.702461 1.404028 2.798752 5.454122 10.914832
2025-06-01 0.165174 0.343051 0.689042 1.409224 2.873898 5.724954 11.720470
2025-06-08 0.154972 0.329330 0.676060 1.413812 2.947655 5.998155 12.553318
2025-06-15 0.146648 0.318653 0.668116 1.427698 3.041030 6.317077 13.505997
2025-06-22 0.134709 0.299157 0.640354 1.397595 3.039932 6.443447 14.066754
2025-06-29 0.123921 0.281106 0.613971 1.367888 3.036655 6.564169 14.624514
2025-07-06 0.112659 0.260928 0.581259 1.321361 2.992515 6.594219 14.986340
2025-07-13 0.112277 0.265266 0.602179 1.395538 3.221388 7.230069 16.746347